Ethereum losing streak vs. Bitcoin hits 15 months — Can ETH price reverse course?

The rate of Ethereums native token, Ether (ETH), is trading around a 15-month low versus Bitcoin (BTC), and the lowest given that Ethereum switched to proof-of-stake (PoS). Will it continue to compromise for the remainder of 2023? Lets take a closer take a look at the charts. Ethereum cost breaks below critical support vs. BitcoinThe ETH/BTC set dropped to as low as 0.056 BTC previously this week. In doing so, the set broke listed below its 200-week exponential moving average (200-week EMA; the blue wave) near 0.058 BTC, raising drawback risks even more into 2023. The 200-week EMA has actually traditionally acted as a dependable assistance level for ETH/BTC bulls. For example, the set rebounded 75% three months after evaluating the wave support in July 2022. On the other hand, it dropped over 25% after losing the exact same support in October 2020. ETH/BTC weekly cost chart. Source: TradingViewETH/BTC looks at similar selloff risks in 2023 after losing its 200-week EMA as assistance. In this case, the next disadvantage target looks to be around its 0.5 Fib line near 0.051 BTC in 2023, down about 9.5% from current rate levels.Conversely, ETH price might rebound towards its 50-week EMA (the red wave) near 0.065 BTC if it recovers the 200-week EMA as support.Bitcoin bull case eclipses EthereumEthereums persistent weakness versus Bitcoin is reflected in institutional capital flow data. For circumstances, as of Oct. 6, Bitcoin-specific financial investment funds had actually drawn in $246 million year-to-date (YTD), according to CoinShares. On the other hand, Ethereum funds have lost capital, seeing outflows worth $104 million in the exact same period.Net streams into crypto funds (by property). Source: CoinSharesThe discrepancy is most likely due to growing buzz about a possible area Bitcoin exchange-traded product (ETF) approval in the U.S. Trade pundits argue that a spot Bitcoin ETF launch will attract $600 billion. In addition, Bitcoins fourth halving on April 24, 2024, is likewise functioning as a tailwind versus the altcoin market.Related: Bitcoin price gets new $25K target as SEC choice day improves GBTCThe halving will minimize the Bitcoin miners block benefit from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, a bullish case based on historical precedent that cuts new supply in half. This short article does not include financial investment advice or recommendations. Every financial investment and trading move includes danger, and readers should conduct their own research study when making a choice.

Ethereum cost breaks listed below crucial assistance vs. BitcoinThe ETH/BTC set dropped to as low as 0.056 BTC previously this week. In doing so, the pair broke listed below its 200-week exponential moving average (200-week EMA; the blue wave) near 0.058 BTC, raising disadvantage threats further into 2023. Source: CoinSharesThe disparity is likely due to growing buzz about a possible area Bitcoin exchange-traded product (ETF) approval in the U.S. Trade experts argue that an area Bitcoin ETF launch will attract $600 billion.

Other Questions People Ask

What factors are contributing to Ethereum's losing streak against Bitcoin?

The primary factor contributing to Ethereum's losing streak against Bitcoin is its recent drop below the critical 200-week exponential moving average (EMA), which has historically served as a support level. This decline raises downside risks for ETH, especially as it trades around a 15-month low versus BTC. Additionally, institutional capital flows indicate a preference for Bitcoin, with significant inflows into Bitcoin-specific investment funds contrasting with outflows from Ethereum funds. This disparity suggests a growing sentiment favoring Bitcoin over Ethereum in the current market environment.

Can Ethereum's price reverse course despite its current losing streak against Bitcoin?

Ethereum's price could potentially reverse course if it manages to reclaim the 200-week EMA as support, which would indicate a bullish trend. If ETH can recover, it may target the 50-week EMA near 0.065 BTC, suggesting a possible rebound. However, if the downward trend continues, the next downside target could be around the 0.5 Fibonacci line near 0.051 BTC. Traders should closely monitor these levels to gauge potential reversals or further declines.

How does Bitcoin's upcoming halving impact Ethereum's performance?

Bitcoin's upcoming halving on April 24, 2024, is expected to create bullish momentum for BTC, which could further exacerbate Ethereum's struggles. Historically, halvings have led to increased prices due to reduced supply, attracting more institutional investment. As Bitcoin gains traction from this event, Ethereum may continue to face pressure unless it can demonstrate strong fundamentals or positive market sentiment. Investors should consider these dynamics when evaluating ETH's potential for recovery.

What historical patterns can we observe in Ethereum's price movements against Bitcoin?

Historically, Ethereum has shown significant volatility when breaking below key support levels like the 200-week EMA. For instance, after losing this support in October 2020, ETH experienced a decline of over 25%. Conversely, in July 2022, it rebounded by 75% after testing the same support level. These patterns suggest that traders should be cautious and look for signs of reversal or continued weakness based on historical price behavior.

What implications do institutional capital flows have on Ethereum's future against Bitcoin?

Institutional capital flows have significant implications for Ethereum's future performance against Bitcoin. The recent data shows that Bitcoin-specific investment funds have attracted $246 million year-to-date, while Ethereum funds have seen outflows of $104 million. This trend indicates a shift in investor confidence towards Bitcoin, which could further pressure Ethereum's price if it continues. Monitoring these capital flows will be crucial for understanding market sentiment and potential price movements for ETH in the coming months.

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